Greg Peterson’s Top MLB Bets for March 28

Bassyonni

Published: March 28, 2026 1:53 PM ET

On March 28, expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson has shared his top MLB bets for the day. The following matchups highlight important statistics and predictions for bettors.

Top MLB Bets for March 28

Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals

The Rays will face the Cardinals at 2:15 PM Eastern. Rays pitcher Joe Boyle achieved 10 strikeouts per nine innings last season but ended with a 4.67 ERA, largely due to 4.8 walks per nine. In contrast, Cardinals pitcher Michael McGreevy posted a 4.42 ERA with lower strikeouts and better control, giving up just 1.9 walks per nine innings.

Rays offense ranked 14th in scoring with over 4.4 runs per game last season.
Bet recommendation: Over 7.5 total runs.

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Scheduled for 4:05 PM Eastern, the matchup pits the Rangers against the Phillies. Aaron Nola of the Phillies had a tough season with a 6.01 ERA but is expected to improve. Jacob deGrom, pitching for the Rangers, boasted a strong 2.96 ERA and high strikeouts.

Rangers’ bullpen ranked fifth in the league with a 3.62 ERA.
Bet recommendation: Rangers +102.

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles

The Twins and Orioles meet for a matchup with significant implications at 4:05 PM Eastern. Taj Bradley, starting for the Twins, struggled last season with a 5.05 ERA. Conversely, Kyle Bradish of the Orioles delivered an impressive 2.53 ERA but in limited innings.

Both bullpens had challenges, with the Twins and Orioles ranking 26th and 25th in bullpen ERA, respectively.
Bet recommendation: Over 7.5 total runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets

The Pirates, with Mitch Keller on the mound, ranked last in scoring last season. The Mets’ David Peterson, despite a 4.22 ERA, has shown signs of potential improvement.

Bet recommendation: Mets Run Line -1.5 +140.

Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds

In this contest at 4:10 PM Eastern, Sonny Gray makes his debut for the Red Sox after a difficult previous season. Reds pitcher Brady Singer has shown improvement post-All-Star break.

Eugenio Suárez’s return boosts the Reds’ offense.
Bet recommendation: Reds +135 and Over 7.5 runs.

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants

Yankees pitcher Will Warren enters the game with a 4.44 ERA. Giants pitcher Tyler Mahle performed well with a 2.16 ERA in his limited starts last season.

Bet recommendation: Giants Moneyline +108.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

The Diamondbacks, featuring Eduardo Rodriguez, face off against the strong Dodgers at 9:10 PM Eastern. Tyler Glasnow aims for improvement in control this season.

Bet recommendation: Under 9 runs.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners

The Guardians take on the Mariners with pitchers Bryan Woo and Joey Cantillo on the mound. Both show promise, with Cantillo having a solid 3.21 ERA.

Bet recommendation: Guardians +163.

These bets reflect key insights into the strengths and weaknesses of the teams and players involved, providing valuable information for bettors on March 28.