Nottingham Forest Backing At 5/4 Puts Jones Knows On Villa Score Today
villa score today turns on a Nottingham Forest angle, with Jones Knows backing the visitors on the double chance to avoid defeat at 5/4 with Sky Bet ahead of Manchester United’s match. That call sits against United’s strong results under Michael Carrick, but the numbers behind those results are less convincing.
“Results? Excellent. Process? Far less convincing.” Jones Knows said in the betting column as he framed United’s form under Carrick. He also said: “I'm happy to take Forest on the double chance to avoid defeat at 5/4 with Sky Bet.”
Michael Carrick’s numbers
United have won 10 of their 15 Premier League games in charge under Carrick and collected 33 points from a possible 45. Only Manchester City have earned more points in that span, and no side has won more matches.
But the underlying chance creation is far flatter. United are operating at just 0.1 xG per 90 minutes under Carrick, and across the last eight Premier League matches only already-relegated Wolves and Burnley have a worse xG supremacy figure than United at -0.3 per 90.
Forest at 5/4
That is why the Forest double chance price stood out in the preview of another weekend of Premier League action. Jones Knows leaned toward avoiding defeat rather than demanding a Forest win, and the 5/4 quote with Sky Bet gave the bet its appeal.
The rest of the betting column pointed to the same style of caution. Across the last 54 domestic and European matches played at Wembley, the average goals per game has been 1.93 and 92 per cent have gone under 3.5 goals.
Wembley, Sarr and form
Ismaila Sarr was the one player singled out for his finishing numbers, with 20 goals across all competitions this season, nine goals in his last nine away starts and 17 shots on target across those nine starts. He was described as looking absolutely electric in transition.
Elsewhere in the preview, Everton were without a win in their last five Premier League games, their longest winless run of the season, while Sunderland had failed to win any of their last four and had drawn their last two. For Forest backers, though, the headline remained the same: a 5/4 double chance price against a United side whose results have outpaced the process.
