Toronto Weather Forecast Calls for 22°C and Afternoon Showers
Toronto weather on May 16, 2026 starts with clear skies and a comfortable 12°C before afternoon rain showers move in. Morning rain chances stay low, but clouds build through the day and the wet weather is set to continue into the evening.
May 16, 2026 Forecast
The day begins near 9°C and climbs to 20°C by early afternoon, with wind speeds rising from 11 km/h in the early morning to 27 km/h by early afternoon and gusts up to 41 km/h. By afternoon, temperatures are forecast to reach 22°C as winds strengthen to 26 km/h with gusts up to 44 km/h.
About 0.5 mm of rain is expected in the afternoon, followed by about 0.2 mm in the evening. Temperatures are forecast to ease to around 18°C after dark, while winds settle back to 16 km/h with gusts up to 33 km/h.
Toronto Morning Conditions
The morning window offers the best conditions for outdoor plans, with light but breezy winds at 16 km/h and gusts reaching 35 km/h. The forecast also points to moderate to high midday UV exposure, making sunglasses and sunscreen part of the day’s practical setup.
Light layers fit the mild morning and the cooler evening, while an umbrella and waterproof jacket are the clearest answers for the afternoon and evening rain.
Afternoon Rain Showers
The shift comes as clouds increase and showers arrive later in the day. For anyone heading out after lunch, the main change is not the temperature alone but the combination of rain, gustier wind, and a slower, wetter evening stretch.
That means the driest part of the day comes first. By late afternoon, the forecast favors conditions that can interrupt outdoor plans, while the evening keeps some rain in play as temperatures fall back toward 18°C.