Andreas Pereira Leads Palmeiras Vs Cruzeiro With 10 Assists
palmeiras vs cruzeiro lands at Allianz Parque on Saturday, May 16, at 21:00 Brasília time with Palmeiras carrying the edge in the numbers. Andreas Pereira leads the league with 10 assists in 15 games, and Palmeiras enters as the league leader with a five-game unbeaten run.
Andreas Pereira and Palmeiras
Pereira has handled Palmeiras’ set pieces and has 68 corners this year. That makes him the most direct source of service in a match where margins have been tight, and his production sits at the center of why Palmeiras is priced as the favorite at 1.66, with a 53.8 percent win probability attached to it.
Palmeiras also brings the league’s best defensive line into the game by the source’s measure, with only 12 goals conceded in 15 games, or 0.80 per match. Cruzeiro has scored enough to stay competitive recently, but it has given up 25 goals at 1.67 per game, a gap that helps explain why the market leans toward the home side.
Allianz Parque numbers
The home record is the cleanest edge Palmeiras has. It has six wins, one draw and no losses at Allianz Parque this season, and it has not lost there in 16 games. Cruzeiro has not won away against Palmeiras since 2018, and it has gone five consecutive visits without a win.
The broader head-to-head picture is less one-sided. Across 42 all-time meetings, Cruzeiro leads 16 wins to Palmeiras’ 14, with 12 draws, but the last four meetings tilted Palmeiras’ way with two wins, one draw and one loss. Those four games finished 5-3 to Palmeiras, and the most recent meeting ended 0-0.
Cruzeiro and Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro arrives in 11th place, but it has four wins in its last five Brasileirão games and carries a sharper recent attack than the table position suggests. Kaio Jorge has scored two goals in his last three appearances against Palmeiras, a small sample that still gives Cruzeiro a direct threat if the game opens up.
The shot and chance numbers are close enough to keep the matchup from looking lopsided on paper. Cruzeiro averages 12.53 finalizations per game to Palmeiras’ 12.27, while Palmeiras has a slight edge in shots on target at 4.53 to 4.60 for Cruzeiro and in corners at 6.33 to 5.13. The betting line on under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.72, fits a series that has averaged 2.0 goals per match.
For Palmeiras, the task is simple: protect the home streak and turn Pereira’s delivery into a goal. Cruzeiro has the cleaner history overall, but the recent pattern, the venue, and the defensive split all point toward the same pressure point at Allianz Parque.
