Anhelina Kalinina Gets 73% Edge Over Marcinko in Rabat Final

Anhelina Kalinina enters the 2026 WTA Morocco Open final with a 73% chance to beat Petra Marcinko. The women’s singles match is set for Saturday, and the preview puts Kalinina at $1.36 with Marcinko at $3.20.

Marcinko Final in Rabat

The matchup gives Marcinko a first WTA final, while Kalinina carries the stronger price and the higher model projection into the title match. Stats Insider ran the meeting through its predictive analytics model 10,000 times and landed on Kalinina as the likelier winner.

The first-set market also leans toward Kalinina. TAB lists her at $1.50 to win the opening set, with Marcinko at $2.62, which points to a fast read on how the match is being priced before a ball is struck.

Stats Insider Model

The 73% figure is the sharpest number in the preview. It places Kalinina well ahead in the simulation while still leaving Marcinko with a live chance in a final that can turn quickly if the underdog gets the first set.

That split between model and odds is the friction point in the market. Kalinina is favored across both the match price and the set market, but the final comes with the kind of pressure that can narrow gaps between numbers on a screen and what happens on court.

10:00pm AEST Start

The match is scheduled to start at 10:00pm AEST on Saturday. For readers tracking the final from Australia, that is the timing that matters most, along with the prices now attached to both players and the model’s view of the matchup.

For Kalinina, the path is straightforward: convert the market edge into a title. For Marcinko, the opening set is the clearest way to challenge those numbers and force the final into a longer fight.