Arsenal Chase 8-1 Edge in Palace Vs Arsenal Finale
Palace vs Arsenal arrives with one side leaning on recent control and the other leaning on a stubborn home record. Arsenal have won their last three league away games at Selhurst Park 8-1 on aggregate, while Crystal Palace have never lost their final league match at home as a top-flight side.
Selhurst Park and Arsenal
That away record is the sharpest number in the matchup. Arsenal have lost only two of their 16 Premier League away games against Palace, and they have won on their last three league trips there by an 8-1 aggregate score. Mikel Arteta is also set to ring changes on the final day, which gives the visitors a different look from the side that has carried them through most of the season.
Palace, though, are not arriving without their own edge at home. Their top-flight final league record stands at eight wins and four draws, and they beat Aston Villa 5-0 in their final home league match of 2023-24. That runs against the current league form line, because Palace are winless in their last six Premier League games.
Palace's final-day record
This is only the second time Palace have faced the Premier League champions after the title had already been settled. They drew 1-1 with Liverpool at Anfield last season after Liverpool had already confirmed the title, a useful reference point for how they can manage a final-day occasion even when the stakes around them have changed.
Home form at Selhurst Park still offers Palace something firmer than recent league results. They are unbeaten in five matches there since losing 3-2 to Burnley in February, and that makes Arsenal's away record at the ground the main pressure point in the fixture. Palace have also lost six of their last seven Premier League games against Arsenal, although they did draw 2-2 with them at the Emirates in April last season.
Arteta, Jesus and Sarr
Arsenal bring their own final-day weight. They have won their final Premier League game of the season 24 times, more than any other side, and they have won on matchday 38 in each of the last 14 campaigns. Their last final-day league defeat came at Birmingham City in 2004-05, when they lost 2-1.
Gabriel Jesus has had a direct hand in seven goals in Arsenal's final Premier League match of the season, with five goals and two assists, the best MD38 return among current Premier League players. A win to nil would also carry a statistical marker of its own: Arsenal have won 29 games while keeping a clean sheet in all competitions this season, and another would equal the club record of 30 such wins set in 1970-71.
Palace still have a live attacking threat in Ismaïla Sarr. He has scored eight goals in his last eight starts in all competitions, and he has scored in each of his last four starts. Eberechi Eze remains a rare benchmark at the club too, having been the only player to score in five consecutive starts for Palace since their return to the top flight in 2013, a run he posted in April and May last year.
That leaves both sides carrying a different kind of pressure into the finale. Arsenal are trying to extend a long final-day sequence and protect a clean-sheet record; Palace are trying to preserve a home mark that has survived every previous top-flight season finale. Selhurst Park has seen both patterns before, and this meeting asks which one holds again.
