Zachary Svajda Holds 57% Edge Over Adam Walton

zachary svajda heads into Thursday’s French Open Men’s Singles 2026 second-round match with the edge, as Dimers’ tennis model gives him a 57% chance to beat Adam Walton. The match is scheduled to start at 5:00 AM ET, and the projection also points to Svajda in the first set.

Svajda-Walton at Roland Garros

Dimers lists Svajda as the most likely winner in the matchup and says its top play is Zachary Svajda to win the first set. That makes the opening set the clearest market signal in the matchup, with Svajda carrying a 56% chance there.

Walton is not without a path. The model gives Walton plus 2.5 a 53% chance of covering the games spread, which is the strongest number on the board outside Svajda’s straight-up win projection. That leans toward a tighter match than the head-to-head win percentage alone suggests.

Dimers’ market edges

The total-games market adds another layer. Under 38.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, which points away from a long five-set style run and toward a match that settles before the total climbs much higher. For bettors, that creates a split board: Svajda on the winner and first set, Walton plus the games, and the under on total games.

The model-based setup leaves the reader with a clear read before the opening ball: Svajda is the favorite, but not by a runaway margin. Walton’s plus-2.5 number and the 54% under both suggest the match could stay close enough to make the first set and the spread the most useful markets to watch once play begins Thursday morning.