Ketlen Souza Opens UFC Vegas 118 Against Ariane Carnelossi

Ketlen Souza opens UFC Vegas 118 against Ariane Carnelossi on Saturday inside the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. ketlen souza enters as the -300 betting favorite, while Carnelossi is listed at +240 in a rematch that adds weight to an already even matchup on paper.

Meta APEX Rematch

The first meeting between them went Carnelossi’s way six years ago, when she scored a late stoppage win over Souza. That history sits behind this booking, because both women now carry identical UFC records of three wins and three losses.

Souza’s run inside the promotion has gone through Marnic Mann, Yazmin Jauregui and Bruna Brasil on the winning side, with losses to Karine Silva, Angela Hill and Piera Rodriguez. She arrives after a bounce-back win in her previous outing, and she first came to the UFC in 2023 as a former Invicta FC champion.

Carnelossi’s UFC Path

Carnelossi joined the UFC in 2019 and has split her six bouts the same way, with wins over Liang Na, Istela Nunes and Piera Rodriguez and losses to Angela Hill, Loopy Godinez and Talita Alencar. She was submitted in her last bout, but her pressure and higher strike output give her a style edge in this pairing.

That style clash is the clearest wrinkle in the fight. Souza’s best route is to drag it to the ground and turn it into a grappling match, while Carnelossi is the more aggressive striker and has the numbers behind her as the favorite in the odds.

Souza And Carnelossi

The pick attached to this matchup calls for a decision win for Carnelossi over Souza, which leans on her volume and the way their first meeting ended. If Souza cannot force the fight off the feet, Carnelossi enters Saturday with the cleaner path to another win in Las Vegas.