Cerundolo Holds 61% Edge Over Brooksby at Cinch Championships

cerundolo enters Thursday's round of 16 at the 2026 ATP Cinch Championships with a 61% modeled chance to beat Jenson Brooksby. The market also leans his way, with the matchup priced before the first ball is struck.

Cerundolo Brooksby Odds

Stats Insider ran the Brooksby-Cerundolo men's singles match through 10,000 simulations, and its predictive analytics model landed on Cerundolo at 61%. TAB has Brooksby at $2.62 and Cerundolo at $1.50, a clear split that puts the Argentine in the stronger position on the board.

The same market sets Brooksby at $2.37 to win the first set, while Cerundolo is at $1.57. Those numbers give bettors a tighter opening-set line than the match price, which usually means the first few games will shape the shape of the board quickly.

Brooksby At 1:30am AEST

The match is scheduled to commence at 1:30am AEST on Thursday, which makes this a late start for viewers tracking the round-of-16 order. The tournament stage is already clear: one player moves through, the other is done in London.

For anyone following the market rather than the scoreboard, the recommendation attached to Cerundolo sits at $1.80. That gives the pre-match case a second price point to compare with the straight odds, and it lines up with the model's lean toward him over Brooksby.

2026 ATP Cinch Championships

This is a betting prediction piece, so the value is in the numbers before play begins. Cerundolo's 61% model edge, the $1.50 price, and the $1.57 first-set line all point in the same direction, while Brooksby's longer prices leave him as the outsider on both the match and the opening set.

Brooksby still gets the round-of-16 shot on Thursday, but the board gives Cerundolo the better path into the next round. Readers who want to follow the match will need the early start time and the price movement in front of them before the opener at 1:30am AEST.