Sam Patterson picked to win via T/KO at UFC Abu Dhabi

Sam Patterson is the betting pick to beat Santiago Ponzinibbio via T/KO in a UFC Abu Dhabi prelim welterweight fight.

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Sam Patterson picked to win via T/KO at UFC Abu Dhabi

The UFC train rolls on, and one of the cleaner prop angles for UFC Abu Dhabi comes in the prelim welterweight matchup between Sam Patterson and Santiago Ponzinibbio.

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The pick is Patterson to win via T/KO at +136. The case starts with the younger fighter’s five-inch reach advantage, which gives him a real physical edge in a fight that could turn into a striking or clinch-heavy exchange before long.

There is also a durability concern on the other side. Ponzinibbio has been knocked out five times in his career, and he was knocked out in his last fight. That does not guarantee another stoppage loss, but it is enough to make the finish prop worth a look when paired with Patterson’s size edge.

Why the pick makes sense

This is a betting preview rather than a fight result, so the focus is on how the styles line up. Patterson’s reach can help him control distance, create cleaner entries, and force Ponzinibbio to work harder to get inside. For a fighter who has already absorbed multiple knockout defeats, that matters.

The article also framed this as part of the broader UFC Abu Dhabi card, with UFC Oklahoma City mentioned as the previous UFC card discussed. That gives the prop a familiar place in the weekly UFC betting cycle: one card ends, the next one arrives, and the hunt for value begins again.

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At +136, Patterson by T/KO is not a massive favorite, but the combination of youth, reach, and Ponzinibbio’s knockout history makes it a logical target for bettors looking at the UFC Abu Dhabi prelims.

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Sports journalist reporting on tennis, golf, and international sports events. Credentialed at Wimbledon, the US Open, and the Masters.