Lloyd Harris is scheduled to face Stefanos Tsitsipas in the second round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Thursday, with the betting market and a simulation model both leaning towards the Greek star. The match is set to begin at 7:10am AEST.
According to Stats Insider, the latest Australian betting odds have Tsitsipas at $1.40 and Harris at $3.00, while the model that ran 10,000 simulations gives Tsitsipas a 68% chance of winning. Harris is listed at $2.50 with TAB, while Tsitsipas is priced at $1.53, and another market line has Harris at $1.83.
What the numbers suggest
This is the kind of Grand Slam matchup where the price tells its own story. Tsitsipas enters as the clear favourite, but the presence of a second-round meeting always leaves room for pressure, especially when the market has already shortened one player so strongly.
For Harris, the task is straightforward: make the match uncomfortable early and avoid letting Tsitsipas settle into a rhythm. For Tsitsipas, the expectation is different. A 68% simulation win rate does not guarantee anything, but it does underline why he is being backed to progress.
Thursday's timing and betting picture
The schedule gives fans a clear marker, with Lloyd Harris and Stefanos Tsitsipas due to start at 7:10am AEST. That timing will matter for those following the match live as well as anyone tracking the odds ahead of play.
The latest betting numbers in Australia are subject to change, so the market may shift again before first serve. Even so, the current prices make the matchup easy to read: Harris is the outsider, Tsitsipas is the man expected to move through, and the second round offers the first real test of that view.
