When a matchup is framed around Brendan Allen, the key question is not just who lands the cleaner shots. It is whether he can force the fight into the kind of minutes that let him control rounds. In this UFC Vegas 122 DFS preview, the answer leans toward Christian Leroy Duncan.
Drake said he is going with Duncan because the striking should be far ahead of Allen's and because he does not see Allen controlling him long enough to consistently win rounds. That is the heart of the projection: if the fight stays at range, Duncan is the cleaner side of the matchup, and the scoring path becomes much easier to map out for DFS players.
Why the preview leans Duncan
The preview's case is straightforward. Duncan is expected to have the better striking, and Brendan Allen is not projected to turn the fight into a sustained grappling contest. That matters because Allen's best route is usually tied to control, pressure, and time spent in positions where he can slow the pace and rack up round-winning moments. If that does not happen, his margin for error shrinks quickly.
Drake also noted that Allen has fallen in love with his hands lately and does not lean on his grappling nearly as much as he used to. That is an important wrinkle in a betting and DFS conversation, because it suggests Allen may be moving farther away from the phase of the fight that could give him the clearest edge. If he is choosing more striking exchanges, then Duncan's cleaner offensive profile becomes even more relevant.
What it means for DFS and betting
From a RotoWire DFS Perspective, the question is which fighter is more likely to control the scoring flow. The preview sees Duncan as the safer pick because his path is more direct: win the striking, keep the fight standing, and take away Allen's ability to string together controlling sequences. Allen still has a route if he can change levels and make the fight messy, but the article makes clear that this is not the expected script.
That makes this less about a dramatic upset call and more about matchup logic. Brendan Allen is still a dangerous name, but the preview believes Christian Leroy Duncan has the cleaner style match if the fight stays in open space. In DFS terms, that is usually where the edge begins: not with hype, but with the fighter who can more reliably win the rounds that matter.
