Don Leonard is in a race that has shifted 17.26 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. The live results for Ohio House District 15 are still being updated, and the vote-shift comparison is based on the expected vote as counted data comes in.
That expected vote is the total number of votes expected in a race once all votes are counted. NBC News uses an estimate built from early voting and information from county election officials on Election Day, then updates the figure as new information reaches NBC News.
Ohio House District 15 results
The comparison appears only after enough of the expected vote is in for a county. That means the district’s current shift is a read on how the race is moving against the 2024 presidential election baseline, not a finished count.
Data in the live results comes from The, and projections in the race are by the NBC News Decision Desk. The article is tracking the Ohio House District 15 contest as part of the 2026 Midterm Election 2026 coverage.
2024 presidential election baseline
The 17.26-point change is the main fact available for voters and candidates in Ohio House District 15. It shows a measurable movement toward Democrats in the district’s live comparison, but it does not by itself answer who is ahead in the race.
That gap matters for readers following the contest closely: the shift can be measured now, while the candidate leading the race is not stated in the provided text. For now, the clearest takeaway is the size of the move and the way the comparison is being built from expected vote totals rather than a final tally.
NBC News Decision Desk
As NBC News gathers new information, the expected vote figure can change, and so can the comparison attached to it. Readers watching Ohio House District 15 should treat the 17.26-point shift as the current live measure, not the final word on the district’s outcome.
