Scott DesJarlais trails Victoria Broderick in Tennessee House District 4 and would need 49.5% of the remaining vote to catch or overtake her. The live results also show the race has shifted 24.42 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election.
The count is being tracked in Tennessee House District 4 as live results from The and projections from NBC News Decision Desk. NBC News says vote-shift comparisons appear only after enough of the expected vote is in for a county, and the expected vote can change as new information arrives.
Tennessee House District 4 live count
DesJarlais is the trailing candidate in the current count, while Broderick leads. The 49.5% figure gives a precise read on the comeback path: he would need to win nearly half of the ballots still to be counted to move past her.
The remaining vote is still the central factor in the race. Because the count is live, the margin can move as additional ballots are added, and the final result depends on how much of the expected vote remains uncounted.
2024 presidential election benchmark
The 24.42-point shift is measured against the 2024 presidential election, which is the comparison point used in the live results. NBC News says those comparisons are shown only once enough of the expected vote is in for a county, so the shift reflects the part of the count far enough along to support that comparison.
The expected vote is the total number of votes expected in the race once all ballots are counted. NBC News bases that figure on several factors, including early vote totals and information from county election officials on Election Day. As more data comes in, the expected vote figure itself can change.
Victoria Broderick lead
Broderick’s lead and the 49.5% threshold leave the contest unresolved in practical terms. DesJarlais still has a path if the uncounted vote breaks his way, but the live numbers show he must outperform the ballots already counted by a narrow and specific margin.
For voters following Tennessee House District 4, the immediate question is how much of the expected vote is still outstanding. Until that count finishes, the live results remain the best guide to whether Broderick holds her edge or DesJarlais closes the gap.
