Jeff Hurd needs 50.1% of the remaining vote to catch or overtake Dwayne Romero in Colorado House District 3. Romero is leading as live election results continue, and the final count will decide whether Hurd can erase that deficit.
The race is being tracked through live results reported by NBC News, with projections from the NBC News Decision Desk based on data provided by The. The district’s results are also being compared with the 2024 presidential election, and the latest shift shows the race moving 11.26 points toward Democrats.
Jeff Hurd and the remaining vote
Hurd’s path is narrow but still open. To pull ahead, he would need to win a little more than half of the ballots that have not yet been counted, a threshold that leaves no room for a weak finish if the remaining vote breaks unevenly.
That math is what makes the live count matter. If the outstanding ballots favor Romero by too wide a margin, Hurd falls further behind; if Hurd wins 50.1% of them, he can catch or pass the current leader in House District 3.
Dwayne Romero leads House District 3
Romero holds the lead at the moment, and that advantage is the standard against which every remaining ballot is measured. The projection does not close the race; it sets the bar Hurd has to clear before the count is complete.
The district’s 11.26-point shift toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election gives the result a wider frame than the current margin alone. It shows that the live count is not only about who is ahead now, but also how the district has moved since the last presidential cycle.
Colorado House District 3 race
The expected vote used in the live results is the total number of ballots projected to be counted once all votes are in. NBC News describes that figure as an estimate built from several factors, and says it can change as new information comes in.
For readers following Colorado House District 3, the immediate question is how much of the remaining vote still has to be counted. Until that number is fully reflected in the live tally, Hurd’s route to overtaking Romero stays mathematical, not certain.
