Paul R. LePage is running against Matthew Dunlap in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race. The contest sits inside Maine’s most competitive race, and voters in the district are watching live results as the count is updated.
Jared Golden’s retirement left the district open in the Maine U.S. House Midterm Election 2026. The expected vote is the estimated total once all votes are counted, and that estimate can change as new information arrives from Election Day and county election officials.
Maine 2nd Congressional District
LePage, a former Republican Gov, is facing Auditor Matthew Dunlap in Maine. The matchup has drawn attention because Republicans are hopeful they can flip the red-leaning district, even as it is described as the state’s most competitive race.
The live results presentation for the 2026 ME Election Results - U.S. House Maine District 2 uses data from The, with projections by the NBC News Decision Desk. That setup means the numbers can move as more votes are counted and the expected vote estimate is refreshed.
Expected vote in Maine
The expected vote figure is not a fixed turnout number. It is an estimate built from several inputs, including information on early votes and information provided to vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials.
Because the estimate can change as NBC News gathers new information, the live count may shift before the race is settled. For voters in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, the practical focus is the same: the tally now, the estimate behind it, and how close the race is to a final result.
Paul LePage and Matthew Dunlap
LePage and Dunlap are the names to watch in the district, but the result will turn on the final count rather than the first update. The remaining question is the vote total itself, and the live results page will keep moving until that number is settled.
