Mantas Kondratavičius is scheduled to face Andre Petroski at UFC Vegas 124 on Saturday, November 7, 2026, and the early betting market has Kondratavičius installed as the favorite at -275. Petroski opened at +228 in a middleweight bout that gives fans and bettors a clear snapshot of where oddsmakers see the matchup heading.
The fight comes with both men listed at 185 pounds, and Kondratavičius will carry a 9-1-0 record into the cage. He is 27 years old and stands 6'2", giving him a size edge over Petroski, who is 35 and listed at 6'0" with a 13-6-0 record. That alone does not settle a fight, but it does help frame the numbers behind the opening line.
What the recent form says
Kondratavičius is coming off a unanimous decision win over Antonio Trocoli in his last Octagon appearance, a three-round result that added another strong note to his run. Petroski’s most recent outing went the other way, as he lost to Cody Brundage by punch to the head in round 2. Those outcomes do not decide Saturday’s bout on their own, but they do explain why Kondratavičius opened as the side to back.
The statistical profiles also give the matchup some texture. Kondratavičius has averaged 4.97 per minute and 2.75 significant strikes per minute, while Petroski’s numbers include 1.30 significant strikes per minute and a 2.99 mark in another key category. In the broader striking and grappling snapshot, the available figures point to a fight with clear stylistic questions rather than a pure coin flip.
Why the line matters
For a scheduled 185-pound fight, the opening price tells the story well: Kondratavičius is the favorite, while Petroski is the underdog with room to prove the market wrong. UFC Vegas 124 now has one of its more readable betting matchups, and the contrast in age, recent results, and overall output should make this an interesting fight to follow when it arrives at 10:15 p.m.
There is still time for the line to move, but the opening number already gives a strong first read. Kondratavičius has the record edge on paper, the better recent result, and the respect of the oddsmakers. Petroski, meanwhile, gets a chance to turn a difficult last outing into a bounce-back win on a big UFC card.
