The Montreal Canadiens are slight favourites at 1.85 on the moneyline when they host the Colorado Avalanche at Bell Centre on Sunday 15 November, and that price reflects both recent form and what happened the last time these two met in Montreal. The Canadiens beat the Avalanche 7-3 at Bell Centre earlier in the schedule, and this rematch arrives with both teams carrying very different recent results.
For Colorado, the most recent outing was a 4-3 overtime loss to the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre. Montreal, meanwhile, came off a 5-2 win over the Boston Bruins at TD Garden, a result that will only have strengthened confidence around the group before this home date.
Why the Canadiens have the edge
The numbers over the past 10 games point to a tight contest, but the Canadiens have enough form to justify favourite status. Montreal have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses in that stretch, while the Avalanche have 8 wins and 0 overtime losses. Both sides have produced offence, with the Canadiens averaging 4.0 goals from 30.1 shots on goal and operating at 23.8% on the powerplay, while Colorado have averaged 3.7 goals from 26.2 shots on goal with a 10.5% powerplay efficiency.
Defensively, the contrast is also clear. Montreal have allowed 3.2 goals and 27.4 shots per game, with an 81.8% penalty-killing efficiency. Colorado have been steadier at the back, allowing 2.3 goals and 30.0 shots, while posting a 2.11 GAA and.935 save percentage across the run.
What recent form says about the matchup
The Canadiens’ recent results suggest a team that is finding ways to win games, even if the profile is not flawless. The Avalanche still look dangerous, and their 8 wins from the past 10 games underline that this is not a side in poor shape. But the market has leaned toward Montreal, likely because home ice, the earlier 7-3 win over Colorado, and the momentum from beating Boston all matter in a game like this.
That makes this one of the cleaner betting angles on the card. The Canadiens are the side priced at 1.85, the venue is Bell Centre, and puck drop is set for 01:00 on Sunday 15 November. For anyone looking at the moneyline, Montreal enter with the clearer home advantage and the more relevant recent head-to-head result.
There is also added interest in the individual production around the game. Montreal have players contributing across the board, while Colorado’s attack remains capable of forcing the pace. That balance is why the meeting feels competitive even with the Canadiens listed as favourites.
In other words, this is not a simple spot, but it is a well-defined one: Montreal have the price, the venue and the recent head-to-head edge. Colorado have the stronger longer-run defensive metrics, but they will need to back that up quickly after their overtime defeat in Ottawa if they want to upset the market read at Bell Centre.
