Aces vs Mercury: Predictions, Picks & Odds for WNBA Finals Game 4

The anticipation for Game 4 of the WNBA Finals between the Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury builds as the Aces are on the verge of clinching the championship. A’ja Wilson’s performance will be critical in this decisive matchup.
Aces vs Mercury: WNBA Finals Game 4 Preview
The Las Vegas Aces seek to secure the WNBA title as they face the Phoenix Mercury on October 10, 2025. The game will take place at the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, with tip-off scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET and broadcast live on ESPN.
Aces’ Dominance
Las Vegas has shown impressive form, winning six out of their last seven games. They have covered the spread in five of those matches. During the playoffs, the Aces have demonstrated their strength, particularly in Game 2, which they won by a significant margin. In the crucial Game 3, A’ja Wilson delivered a last-minute shot, sealing their victory despite the Mercury’s valiant comeback attempt.
Wilson, widely regarded as the best player in the league, is expected to elevate her game even further in this pivotal matchup. She has received substantial support from her teammates, including guard Chelsea Gray and scorer Jackie Young.
Key Players and Injuries
- A’ja Wilson: Averaging 44.8 points, rebounds, and assists in her last five games.
- Chelsea Gray: Providing essential offensive and defensive contributions.
- Jackie Young: A vital scoring option throughout the series.
- Satou Sabally (Mercury): The leading scorer for the Mercury is questionable due to a head injury sustained in Game 3.
- DeWanna Bonner (Mercury): Scheduled for an increased role if Sabally cannot play, having recorded 25 points and 10 rebounds in Game 3.
Game Predictions and Betting Odds
Betting odds favor the Aces with a spread of -2.5, reflecting their recent success against the Mercury. Las Vegas has won five consecutive games against Phoenix, four of which were by at least three points.
Current Betting Lines
Bet Type | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -125 | +105 |
Spread | -2.5 | +2.5 |
Over/Under | Over 164.5 | Under 164.5 |
Conclusion
As Game 4 approaches, the Aces aim to leverage their advantageous position and clinch the title. All eyes will be on A’ja Wilson, as she looks to lead her team to victory once again. The outcome remains uncertain, but with the odds stacked in their favor, Las Vegas appears poised to extend their success and claim the championship.