Madagascar’s Future Uncertain After President Andry Rajoelina’s Fall

Madagascar stands at a crossroads following the recent downfall of President Andry Rajoelina. After 18 days of escalating protests, initiated by the Z Generation over ongoing water and electricity shortages, discontent morphed into calls for the president’s resignation. Rajoelina fled to Dubai on October 12, just as the nation witnessed the military aligning with the youth’s demands without resorting to violence.

Political Turmoil and Military Involvement

Andry Rajoelina’s journey to power began with a military-backed coup in 2009. After a brief political retreat in 2013, he returned to lead Madagascar, despite being elected in 2018 and 2023 under scrutinized electoral conditions. He had promised to transform Madagascar into an emerging country within five years, a goal that has yet to materialize.

• Over 80% of Madagascar’s population lives on less than $3 per day.
• The education system is in disarray.
• Road infrastructure has deteriorated since independence.

The Consequences of Corruption

Corruption has proliferated under Rajoelina’s rule, benefiting a small elite while the majority suffer. The exploitation of Madagascar’s natural resources has largely been managed through corrupt channels, leaving the country in a cycle of poverty despite its rich potential.

Rajoelina’s Response to His Ouster

Now in exile, Rajoelina seeks to counter his dismissal by the Malagasy National Assembly, labeling it unconstitutional. His warning over potential halts to crucial international aid draws attention, especially considering his previous sanctions in 2009.

International Community’s Role

The international community’s reaction will be critical as they consider the implications of Rajoelina’s ousting. Their previous silence on his administration’s missteps may come under scrutiny if they now impose sanctions or restrictions that could exacerbate the people’s suffering.

French President Emmanuel Macron’s recent remarks advocating for institutional continuity in Madagascar have sparked backlash, revealing a disconnect between diplomatic rhetoric and the on-ground reality. The youth’s determination for change reflects a broader yearning for a better future, challenging outside forces to rethink their approach towards governance in Africa.

Looking Ahead: Madagascar’s Future

Madagascar’s future remains uncertain as it grapples with leadership changes and the continuing struggle for better governance. The recent events underline the resilience of the Malagasy youth and their desire for accountability and progress.