UFC Vancouver: Barlow vs Santos Preview, Predictions & Betting Odds

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UFC Vancouver: Barlow vs Santos Preview, Predictions & Betting Odds

The upcoming UFC event in Vancouver is set to feature a gripping middleweight clash. This matchup includes Danny Barlow and Djorden Santos, both Contender Series alumni seeking redemption after recent defeats. Barlow, who made waves with a viral knockout in his UFC debut, suffered his first professional loss this past March. Santos, meanwhile, is still pursuing his first UFC victory after a decision loss in his debut.

Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos: Preview

Danny Barlow enters this fight with a record of 9 wins and 1 loss. He stands at 6 feet 2 inches tall and boasts a reach of 79 inches. His striking metrics show he lands an impressive 5.62 significant strikes per minute with a 50% accuracy rate. In contrast, he absorbs only 3.70 strikes per minute, highlighting his effective striking defense, which currently sits at 51%. Notably, Barlow maintains a perfect 100% takedown defense but has yet to attempt a takedown or a submission in the UFC.

On the other hand, Djorden Santos has a solid professional record of 10 wins and 2 losses. Santos stands at 6 feet tall with a reach of 75 inches. He is known for his striking output, landing 7.20 significant strikes per minute at a 43% accuracy rate. However, he tends to absorb 5.87 strikes per minute with a striking defense of 49%. He averages 1.00 takedown per fight at 40% accuracy and possesses a strong takedown defense rate of 86%. Despite his grappling background, Santos has opted to keep fights standing with no submission attempts recorded in the UFC.

Betting Odds for the Fight

The betting markets favor Danny Barlow significantly for this matchup. According to FanDuel, Barlow is listed at -290, indicating a strong expectation of victory. Djorden Santos is positioned as a notable underdog at +235. These odds reflect Barlow’s physical advantages and striking power demonstrated in his previous outings. For punters interested in the fight duration, it is forecasted that the odds for the match going the distance stand at +152, while the probability of it ending before the final bell is higher, with odds at -196.

Predictions and Insights

The outcome of this fight may hinge on Barlow’s ability to control the distance and utilize his reach effectively against Santos. Barlow’s advantage allows him to strike confidently from afar while his takedown defense should keep the fight standing. Conversely, Santos will need to apply pressure and transition to close-range exchanges to maximize his striking volume. However, Barlow’s significant reach advantage may make it challenging for Santos to execute this strategy without incurring damage.

Given these dynamics, many analysts predict Danny Barlow will emerge victorious, likely by KO or TKO.