Netflix Q3 Earnings Prediction: Options Market Anticipates 7.4% Price Shift

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Netflix Q3 Earnings Prediction: Options Market Anticipates 7.4% Price Shift

Netflix is set to announce its third-quarter earnings on October 21. The options market indicates a predicted price shift of 7.4%, signaling greater volatility than usual following this report.

Expectations for Q3 Earnings Report

Traders are anticipating a significant outcome from Netflix’s earnings call. Compared to the historical average post-earnings move of 4.2%, the expected shift highlights heightened investor concern or excitement.

During the call, analysts will focus on several key factors, particularly:

  • Net additions in international markets
  • Engagement metrics
  • Revenue outcomes from the ad-supported service

Analysts’ Forecasts

Despite a modest decline in share price over the last three months, analysts remain optimistic. They forecast earnings of $6.96 per share, representing a 28.9% increase compared to the same quarter last year. Additionally, revenue projections stand at $11.51 billion, up from $9.78 billion in the previous year.

Several factors contribute to these optimistic forecasts:

  • Shift from subscriber growth to profitability
  • Implementation of paid-sharing strategies
  • Expansion of the advertising segment
  • Growth in global content availability

Market Sentiment on NFLX Stock

According to Wall Street analysts, Netflix stock carries a Moderate Buy consensus rating. This rating is based on 18 Buy recommendations, seven Holds, and a single Sell in the past three months.

Currently, the average target price for NFLX sits at $1,381.26, suggesting an upside potential of approximately 10.93%. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on the upcoming earnings announcement to gauge the company’s trajectory.