Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Giron vs. Shapovalov Match Prediction & Odds

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Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Giron vs. Shapovalov Match Prediction & Odds

In the upcoming Round of 32 at the Swiss Indoors Basel, Marcos Giron will face Denis Shapovalov. The match is set for Tuesday, October 21, 2025. Currently, Shapovalov holds a higher ATP ranking at No. 23, while Giron is ranked No. 57. This contest promises to be an intriguing showdown given their differing backgrounds and statistics.

Match Details

  • Tournament: Swiss Indoors Basel
  • Round: Round of 32
  • Date: October 21, 2025
  • Court Surface: Hard

Betting Odds

  • Giron Odds: +105
  • Shapovalov Odds: -135
  • Giron Tournament Odds: +5000
  • Shapovalov Tournament Odds: +2200

Performance Analysis

Marcos Giron has had a challenging year, holding a record of 14 wins and 15 losses on hard courts. He has demonstrated a solid performance in service games, winning 76.8% of them. In terms of return games, his winning percentage is notably lower at 23.5%. Giron ranks 28th in break-point conversion with a rate of 34.7%, having converted 76 out of 219 chances.

In his last outing at the European Open on October 15, Giron was eliminated in the Round of 16 by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in a closely contested match.

On the other hand, Denis Shapovalov has fared significantly better, achieving a record of 21 wins and 11 losses on hard courts this season. He has successfully won 75.2% of his service games and has a return game success rate of 32.4%. Shapovalov’s break-point conversion stands impressively at 47.8%, having capitalized on 108 of 226 opportunities.

Shapovalov recently competed in the Stockholm Open, where he fell to the 12th-ranked Casper Ruud in the semifinals on October 18.

Match Prediction

According to recent odds, Shapovalov is favored to win with a moneyline reflecting a 57.4% probability for Giron. As the match approaches, all eyes will be on how both players perform under pressure at the Swiss Indoors Basel.