Medvedev vs. Borges: 2025 ATP Vienna Open Round 1 Preview & Odds
Daniil Medvedev is set to clash with Nuno Borges in the first round of the 2025 ATP Erste Bank Open in Vienna. This face-off will be part of the Round of 32, determining the winner’s path to the pre-quarterfinal stage against either Corentin Moutet or Damir Dzumhur. Medvedev, the 6th seed, is coming off a title win in Almaty, where he ended a two-year title drought.
Daniil Medvedev’s Recent Performance
At 29, Medvedev has accumulated 21 titles across various cities, improving his 2025 win-loss record to 38-21. His successful year also includes reaching the finals in Halle and making it to the semifinals in several other tournaments such as Marseille and Indian Wells. With a strong showing in this tournament, he aims to enhance his chances for qualification to the ATP Finals.
- 2025 Record: 38-21
- Title Count: 21 in 21 cities
- Aces: 359
- Service Games Won: 83%
Nuno Borges Looking to Upset
Nuno Borges, ranked No. 47 globally, has a year-to-date success rate of 50%. The 28-year-old has reached the semifinals in Auckland and quarterfinals in Marrakech and ‘s-Hertogenbosch. After a challenging loss at the US Open, he made it to the Round of 16 in both Tokyo and Shanghai. Borges aims for his second ATP title, having won in Bastad in 2024.
- Year-to-Date Record: 28-28
- First Serve Points Won: 71%
- Second Serve Points Won: 50%
Head-to-Head Record
Medvedev holds a flawless 3-0 record against Borges in their previous encounters. Their matches took place in 2024, with Medvedev dominating the contests.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 US Open | Round of 16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-0, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 2024 Halle | Round of 32 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(4), 6-4 |
| 2024 Australian Open | Round of 16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3, 7-6(4), 5-7, 6-1 |
Match Prediction and Betting Odds
Medvedev is known for leveraging indoor hard courts effectively, having previously won this tournament in 2022 and finishing as a runner-up in 2023. Borges will need to capitalize on his service games and excel in forehand exchanges. However, Medvedev’s powerful shots could prove challenging for him.
The odds favor Medvedev significantly against Borges for this matchup. According to BetMGM, Medvedev is heavily favored with an implied 81% chance to win.
- Medvedev Win: 1/4
- Borges Win: 29/10
- Total Games Over 21.5: 41/50
- Medvedev -4.5 Game Handicap: 11/10
- Borges +4.5 Game Handicap: 7/10
