Melbourne weather today: rain eases after a blustery weekend, warmer stretch brewing by late week
After a stormy weekend that brought power cuts and isolated damage across parts of greater Melbourne, Monday, 27 October begins cloudy and cool with showers and a slight thunderstorm risk, before conditions ease through the afternoon. Behind today’s changeable skies, a steadier warming trend is lining up from mid-week, pointing to a mild-to-warm run late week and a notably warmer Sunday.
Today in Melbourne: showers tapering, cool southerly change
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Sky/precipitation: Cloudy with a very high chance of morning rain, becoming less likely early afternoon. A brief rumble of thunder is possible during the late morning to early afternoon window.
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Temperatures: Max ~14°C, with a crisp feel all day after a chilly start.
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Winds: E/NE early, shifting S/SW during the day at 15–25 km/h, adding a cool edge near the bay and along exposed corridors.
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What it feels like: Damp ground, a few lingering showers, then longer dry breaks later—classic post-frontal Melbourne. Keep the light rain jacket handy for the school run and commute; a warmer layer is still needed if you’re outdoors for long.
After the storms: clean-up and safety reminders
Weekend storms produced localized wind damage and short-lived but intense downpours across the western and northern suburbs, with scattered power outages reported. If you’re clearing yards or footpaths today:
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Treat any fallen power lines as live and keep well clear; report hazards via your distributor.
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Watch for loose branches in parks and nature strips—gusts may have weakened limbs even where damage isn’t obvious.
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Minor flash-flood debris (silt, leaf litter) on roads and bike paths can make surfaces slick; allow extra braking distance.
The Melbourne outlook: spring mood swings, then a warm push
A changeable mid-spring pattern gives way to steadier warmth:
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Tuesday–Wednesday: Brighter and a touch milder, with longer sunny spells. Highs 18–19°C; cool mornings persist.
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Thursday–Friday: Pleasant—a mix of sun and patchy cloud, highs 22–23°C. Light winds and comfortable afternoons favoured for outdoor plans.
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Saturday: Seasonal sweet spot: partly sunny ~21°C, still mild overnight.
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Sunday: Noticeably warmer, trending toward the upper-20s to around 30°C in the afternoon if northerlies firm up ahead of the next change. Plan heat-sensitive activities earlier in the day.
As always in October–November, timing of the next front will dictate whether Sunday’s peak warmth lands late Saturday night or Sunday afternoon; a few hours’ shift can trim several degrees from the daytime high.
Microclimates: why your suburb feels different
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Bayside & CBD: Sea breeze and southerly shifts keep the apparent temperature lower this afternoon despite any sun breaks.
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Northern growth corridors (Craigieburn, Mickleham, Epping): Slightly warmer daytime highs and a longer window for a stray shower or rumble.
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Foothills/outer east (Belgrave, Mount Dandenong): Cooler and cloudier pockets linger longest; keep the extra layer handy tonight.
UV and allergy notes
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UV: Spring UV climbs quickly on clearer days mid-week; even with milder temps, sun protection is sensible around the late-morning to mid-afternoon peak.
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Pollen: Grasses respond to the upcoming warmth; sneeze factor rises later this week. Asthma and hay fever sufferers should check daily advisories and keep preventers close.
Planning tips for the week
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Today: Flexible plans win—showers taper but can still interrupt outdoor tasks before mid-afternoon.
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Mid-week: Lock in outside jobs, gardening, and sport—lighter winds and kinder temperatures.
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Weekend: Aim Saturday for long sessions; Sunday looks hotter and breezier ahead of the next shift.
The takeaway
Melbourne starts the week cool, grey and gradually drying, then slides into a pleasant warm-up from mid-week that could culminate in a genuinely warm Sunday. After the weekend’s wild spells, today is a reset day: keep the jacket for a few leftover showers, then enjoy a more stable, sunnier run as the city leans back toward classic late-spring conditions.