Tampa weather this week: cool mornings, sun-drenched afternoons, brief shower chance Monday
A quiet stretch of Tampa Bay weather continues, with seasonably cool mornings, comfortably warm afternoons, and only a small window for showers as a weak disturbance brushes the Gulf early next week. For most outdoor plans, it’s a friendly forecast: plenty of sun, a light sea breeze each day, and humidity that stays in check until the next onshore push.
Today–Saturday: dry air and easy afternoons
A drier air mass settled over the peninsula, knocking down humidity and allowing crisp early hours before sunshine takes over. Expect:
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Morning: Temperatures starting in the upper 50s to mid-60s across inland neighborhoods, a touch milder along the bay and beaches.
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Afternoon: Highs landing in the mid to upper 70s, flirting with 80°F in the usual warm spots.
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Wind: Light easterly flow turning onshore with a gentle sea breeze after lunchtime—great for parks, markets, and evening walks.
Air quality trends favorable, and with dew points down, it’ll feel nicer than the numbers suggest. UV still bites—sunscreen is smart even on cooler days.
Sunday–Wednesday: gradual warm-up, spotty showers Monday
As winds veer a bit more southeasterly, temperatures nudge upward. Moisture also inches back, but the rain signal remains modest.
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Sunday: Mostly sunny; highs near 80–82°F.
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Monday: A weak Gulf disturbance and slightly richer moisture could spark isolated to scattered showers—coverage looks limited and timing favors the afternoon to early evening with the sea-breeze boundary.
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Tuesday–Wednesday: Partly sunny and low 80s. Any shower that forms should be brief and localized.
No widespread storms or severe weather flags are evident in this pattern; thunder chances stay low and mainly tied to Monday’s sea-breeze collisions.
Beach & boat: gentle chop, watch the afternoon breeze
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Surf & rip currents: Generally low to moderate risk; conditions are calmest morning and pick up slightly with the afternoon onshore flow.
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Boating: Light winds early, turning onshore with a light chop on the bay after midday. Check the latest marine statement before pushing offshore—small craft shouldn’t see major issues, but the breeze can freshen near the mouth of the bay late day.
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Water temps: Seasonally mild; still cool enough for longer swims to feel brisk without a spring suit.
Allergies, health, and home tips
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Pollen: Grasses and weeds may tick up under the dry stretch; sensitive folks consider a pre-activity antihistamine or rinsing off post-outdoor time.
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Hydration: Dry air masks perspiration—carry water for runs and long walks.
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A/C & windows: Nights are ideal for open-window sleeping inland; coastal spots may prefer a fan with the onshore breeze.
Planning your week at a glance
| Day | AM Low | PM High | Rain chance | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | upper 50s–mid 60s | 76–79° | 0–10% | Sunny, light sea breeze |
| Sat | low–mid 60s | 78–80° | 0–10% | Dry, comfortable |
| Sun | low–mid 60s | 80–82° | 10–20% | Warmer, still pleasant |
| Mon | mid 60s | 80–82° | 30–40% | Spotty showers with sea breeze |
| Tue | mid 60s | 81–83° | 10–20% | Partly sunny |
| Wed | mid–upper 60s | 81–83° | 10–20% | Warm, mainly dry |
| Thu | upper 60s | 82–84° | 10–20% | Seasonable, light onshore flow |
(Temperatures vary by neighborhood; inland tends cooler at dawn and warmer midafternoon.)
Tampa Bay
It’s a top-tier outdoor run: cool starts, bright middays, and just a brief Monday blip for a few showers. If you’re scheduling games, yard work, or waterfront time, circle today, Saturday, and Sunday for the most reliable sunshine—and keep a plan B for Monday afternoon in case a passing shower clips your block.
