Tanzania’s Election Resembles Coronation for President Samia Suluhu Hassan

In Tanzania, President Samia Suluhu Hassan is perceived to be on the verge of a coronation rather than facing a competitive election. This is particularly evident as she prepares for her first presidential election, with no major opposition candidates cleared to contest. At 65, she became the nation’s first female head of state following the death of President John Magufuli in 2021.

Tanzania’s Political Landscape

Samia succeeded Magufuli, a figure praised for his anti-corruption efforts but criticized for his authoritarianism and handling of the Covid-19 pandemic. Samia, previously vice-president, is viewed as a refreshing contrast, advocating a new policy framework focused on “reconciliation, resilience, reform, and rebuilding.” This has reportedly improved relations with international organizations such as the IMF and World Bank.

However, the political atmosphere in Tanzania has significantly deteriorated over the past two years. Allegations of suppression against critics and opposition figures have intensified. Freedom House, a US-based advocacy group, rated Tanzania as “partly free” in 2020 and “not free” in 2023.

Opposition Challenges

• The main opposition party, Chadema, is facing significant challenges. Its leader, Tundu Lissu, is on trial for treason.
• Many opposition candidates have been disqualified, leaving smaller parties in the race but with minimal impact.
• Political analysts highlight issues of electoral credibility, citing institutional bias against opposition parties.

Despite 17 candidates being approved by the electoral commission, the disqualification of key opposition figures has dampened voter enthusiasm. Many citizens doubt the integrity of the electoral process, with some expressing a lack of motivation to participate.

Public Sentiment and Women’s Perspectives

While President Samia has earned recognition for her leadership style, the response among young voters is mixed. Some women view her as a role model, claiming she has restored dignity and confidence in governance. Nonetheless, others criticize her for not adequately addressing pressing issues like unemployment and economic disparity.

First-time voters share concerns over the political climate. Some express skepticism about the government’s commitment to facilitating genuine democratic processes. “We need a strong opposition for real elections,” remarked Godfrey Lusana, a resident of Dar es Salaam.

Concerns Over Authoritarian Trends

Analysts note an alarming rise in government repression, including abductions and threats to dissenting voices. The ruling party, Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), has maintained a stronghold on power since the reintroduction of multiparty democracy in 1992. However, internal dynamics within the party indicate possible issues of governance and public trust.

As the election approaches, the president’s ability to balance authority and inclusiveness remains under scrutiny. Observers warn that without addressing these challenges, Tanzania’s democracy could face further deterioration, particularly if public turnout remains low.

Conclusion

As Tanzanians prepare for this pivotal election, questions regarding the future of democracy in the country loom large. President Samia Suluhu Hassan’s journey from vice-president to the potential coronation as a leader will be closely monitored by both local and international observers.