Alex De Minaur vs Alexander Bublik: Paris Masters 2025 Preview and Prediction
Sixth-seeded Alex De Minaur will face 13th-seeded Alexander Bublik in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Paris Masters. This matchup promises to highlight the talents of two of the sport’s rising stars.
Match Details
- Date: October 31, 2025
- Tournament: Paris Masters 2025
- Round: Quarterfinals
- Venue: Paris La Défense Arena, Paris, France
- Category: Masters 1000
- Surface: Indoor hard court
- Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Player Form and Stats
Alex De Minaur’s Performance
De Minaur has showcased impressive form this year, winning 55 of 75 matches. At this tournament, he enjoyed an opening-round bye and then secured victories over Gabriel Diallo and 2018 champion Karen Khachanov, winning 7-6 (8), 4-6, 6-3 and 6-2, 6-2, respectively.
A Look at Alexander Bublik
Bublik has also had a stellar year, capturing four titles and breaking into the top 20. He started his Paris Masters campaign with a 6-4, 6-3 win against Alexei Popyrin and followed with a 6-3, 7-5 victory over Corentin Moutet. In the third round, he defeated fourth-seeded Taylor Fritz, winning 7-6 (6), 6-2.
Head-to-Head Comparison
- Overall Record: De Minaur leads 3-1
- Notable Matches:
- First meeting: De Minaur won by retirement in 2021 in Antalya.
- Most recent match: Bublik came back from two sets down to win at the French Open.
Match Prediction
In assessing their chances, De Minaur has won 70% of his first serve points and 67% on his second serve. His speed on the slower Paris courts allows him to excel during extended rallies.
On the other hand, Bublik has recorded 80% of his first-serve points but only 50% on his second serve. He has created 25 break-point opportunities but converted only 28% of them.
Year-to-Date Hard Court Records
| Player | Win-Loss Record | Titles |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 42-13 | 1 (Washington) |
| Aleksandr Bublik | 19-15 | 1 (Hangzhou Open) |
While De Minaur has an advantageous head-to-head record, Bublik’s recent success shows he can be competitive on these surfaces. Ultimately, De Minaur is favored to win, likely in three sets, based on his performance on indoor hard courts this year.
