BTC Price Corrections Triggered by Emerging Pattern Since Late 2023
Bitcoin (BTC) recently experienced a notable price correction, dipping below the $100,000 mark for the first time since June. On Tuesday, the cryptocurrency reached a low of approximately $98,951. This downward movement raised alarms among investors, as it fell below two critical support levels necessary to maintain the current bullish market.
Key Support Levels Tested
The significant support levels are the 365-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 365-day exponential moving average (EMA). Currently, these averages stand at $102,055 and $99,924, respectively. Both levels have been crucial in previous trading cycles.
In August 2024, Bitcoin utilized the 365-day SMA as a vital support level, maintaining around $48,963, while the price briefly dipped below the EMA, which accounts for more recent price movements. Earlier, in April 2024, Bitcoin fell to $76,500, breaking through both moving averages but later managed to regain them swiftly.
Long-term Holders Contributing to Selling Pressure
Long-term holders, defined as those who have retained their Bitcoin for over 155 days, are the main source of current selling pressure. This segment has approximately 14.4 million BTC, a decrease from over 14.7 million BTC at the peak in July. This represents the third significant selling wave by this group since late 2023.
- First wave: Late 2023
- Second wave: November 2024, following the U.S. presidential election
- Current wave: Contributing to the recent price correction
Each selling wave from long-term holders has historically led to price consolidation or significant corrections, often of 10% or more, following periods of price rallies.
Conclusion
The latest price behavior of Bitcoin indicates potential challenges ahead as it navigates crucial support levels. Continued selling pressure from long-term holders may further influence BTC price fluctuations through late 2023 and beyond.
