Top CFB Betting Splits for Friday, November 14

Friday Night Lights is set to feature two thrilling college football matchups, presenting intriguing betting narratives for enthusiasts. Analyzing the College Football Betting Splits for November 14, let us explore where the savvy money is flowing for these games.

Clemson vs. Louisville

Clemson, with a record of 4-5, recently ended a two-game losing streak by defeating Florida State 24-10 while covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Louisville, currently ranked 20th and holding a record of 7-2, saw their three-game winning streak snapped by California, losing 29-26 in overtime as 18.5-point home favorites.

The betting line opened with Louisville favored by 3.5 points at home. Public sentiment suggests Louisville is the stronger team, leading many bettors to wager on them. However, despite garnering 75% of spread bets at DraftKings, the line has shifted from -3.5 to -2.5 in favor of Louisville.

• This shift suggests sharp action on Clemson, prompting reverse line movement toward the Tigers.
• Clemson ranks as a significant “bet against the public” choice, receiving only 25% of ticket sales but 49% of spread dollars.

Clemson’s status as an unranked road dog against a ranked opponent provides buy-low value. Historically, unranked dogs versus ranked teams record 55% against the spread (ATS) with a 4% return on investment (ROI) this season. Additionally, Friday road dogs have performed well this year, with a 62% ATS record and 19% ROI.

Betting Insights

The total for this matchup has seen a slight decline from 51.5 to 50.5. Interestingly, the public is favoring the over, with 75% of bets at DraftKings. Yet, this decline suggests that sharp money is favoring the under. When the total is set over 50, the under has cashed 59% of the time this season.

Minnesota vs. Oregon

Minnesota enters this game with a 6-3 record after narrowly edging Michigan State 23-20 in overtime but failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. Oregon, ranked 8th with an impressive record of 8-1, has also won three consecutive games, recently defeating Iowa 18-16 without covering as 4.5-point road favorites.

The initial betting line opened with Oregon as a 21.5-point favorite. Sharp bettors quickly reacted, pushing the line up to 25.5 points. At DraftKings, Oregon is attracting 54% of spread bets and 61% of total dollars, while Circa reports even higher numbers, with 66% of spread bets and a striking 88% of spread dollars favoring Oregon.

• Despite the sharp uptick, bettors must consider if the value has diminished on Oregon.
• Market analysis indicates a slight pullback to -25.5, suggesting buyback on Minnesota.

Minnesota also benefits from having a week off, while Oregon played a physical game recently. Moreover, this matchup features a low total of 44.5, which traditionally favors larger underdogs in securing a cover. The market indicates that unranked dogs against ranked teams have an impressive 55% ATS record.

Final Thoughts

As we prepare for Friday’s matchups, bettors should leverage these insights from the College Football Betting Splits. Analyzing trends and movement could reveal significant betting opportunities while maintaining a strategic approach to wagering.