Weather Threatens Thanksgiving Travel Plans: Key Areas to Watch

As Thanksgiving approaches, over 80 million Americans are poised to travel at least 50 miles from their homes. However, weather conditions could impact their plans significantly. According to AAA estimates, approximately 73 million travelers are expected to drive, while around 6 million will fly.

Weather Factors Affecting Thanksgiving Travel Plans

No major storms are imminent leading up to Thanksgiving, which lowers the risk of widespread travel disruptions compared to previous years. Nevertheless, localized wet and windy weather could create challenges for travelers. Below is a breakdown of potential weather-related issues for key travel days leading up to the holiday.

Saturday: Disruption Potential 2/5

• Rain expected in parts of the East Coast.
• Mild delays possible for road travel and at major airports, particularly in Washington, DC, and New York City.
• Southern California and the Desert Southwest will experience wet conditions, affecting cities like San Diego and Phoenix.

Sunday: Disruption Potential 3/5

• Heavier rainfall anticipated in the Southern Plains, particularly Texas and southern Oklahoma.
• Dallas and Austin face a Level 2 flooding risk, which may complicate flights out of Dallas Fort Worth International Airport.
• Conditions in the East are generally more favorable, with less rain and wind.

Monday and Tuesday: Uncertain Weather Patterns

On Monday, a storm system from the Pacific Northwest may merge with rain affecting the Southern Plains. This could lead to unpredictable rain patterns from Texas to the Midwest.

• Merging storms could cause significant disruptions at major hubs like Chicago, Minneapolis, and St. Louis.
• If the two systems do not combine, rain will likely be heavier in the lower Mississippi Valley, while northern areas remain dry.

Wednesday: Disruption Potential 2/5

As Thanksgiving approaches, high pressure may create some dry conditions across the West and central US. However, wet weather may impact parts of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, bringing rain and snow to northern New England.

• Airports from Washington, DC, to Boston may experience delays due to breezy conditions.
• The Great Lakes region could face similar disruptions.

Thanksgiving Day: A Mostly Clear Outlook

On Thanksgiving Day, most of the country is expected to dry out. However, the Great Lakes might still see some lake-effect snow, and lingering rain could affect parts of the Southeast.

• Temperatures will be seasonably chilly in the central and eastern US.
• Southern areas, particularly along the Gulf Coast, may experience warmer conditions.

Travelers should stay informed about upcoming weather patterns as they make their plans for the holiday season. With these forecasts, travelers can better prepare for their journeys and reduce potential disruptions during Thanksgiving travel.