NFL Betting Splits: Sunday’s Top Picks for November 23rd
This Sunday, NFL Week 12 presents a packed schedule with 12 exciting games. Let’s explore the betting trends for some key matchups using insights based on the latest betting splits from El-Balad, which are sourced directly from major sportsbooks like DraftKings and Circa Sports.
NFL Betting Splits for November 23rd
Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chicago Bears (7-3) recently defeated the Minnesota Vikings 19-17, marking their third consecutive win. In contrast, the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) triumphed over the Cincinnati Bengals with a commanding score of 34-12. As the matchup approaches, the Bears opened as 1.5-point favorites, and betting patterns have shifted significantly. Strong support for the Bears has pushed the line up to -2.5, and it briefly reached -3 earlier in the week.
- Current Odds: Bears -2.5 (-115)
- Spread Bets: 63% on Bears, 76% of dollars
- Moneyline for Bears: -145
Non-conference favorites have a strong historical record this season, boasting a straight-up win rate of 69%. When teams come off victories, favorites have won 67% of the time this season. With the over/under total rising from 45 to 47.5, the over has shown impressive backing with 81% of dollars wagered at DraftKings.
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
In a contrasting storyline, the Atlanta Falcons (3-7) are struggling, having lost five in a row, while the New Orleans Saints (2-8) recently ended their four-game losing streak with a 17-7 victory over the Panthers. Initially, Atlanta was favored by 3.5 points, but the betting tide has shifted, with the Saints now favored by 1.5 points.
- Current Odds: Saints -1.5
- Spread Bets: 37% on Saints, 57% of dollars
- Moneyline for Saints: -130
The line switch reflects significant betting interest in the Saints, particularly from sharp bettors. Historically, favorites off a bye have a winning percentage of 71% since 2004, strengthening the Saints’ prospects.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2) are riding high with four consecutive wins, whereas the Dallas Cowboys (4-5-1) are looking to build momentum after a recent victory over the Raiders. The Eagles opened as 4.5-point favorites, but recent betting activity has caused the line to drop to -3, suggesting sharp betting on Dallas.
- Current Odds: Eagles -3
- Spread Bets: 39% on Cowboys, 56% of dollars
- Under Total Moving Down: From 50 to 47.5
Historically, divisional dogs such as the Cowboys have performed well against the spread, with a 54% success rate since 2019. The under has gained traction among bettors as well, with a notable split favoring that outcome.
As NFL Week 12 unfolds, these matchups showcase critical betting trends. The analysis provided by El-Balad aims to help bettors navigate the complexities of NFL betting accurately.
