MLB Execs Predict 2025-26 Offseason Free Agency and Trades
The 2025-26 MLB offseason is heating up, with numerous early signings and trades setting the stage for a busy winter. The Seattle Mariners began the action by re-signing first baseman Josh Naylor. Shortly after, the Los Angeles Angels and Baltimore Orioles executed a trade, followed by a notable Marcus Semien and Brandon Nimmo exchange between the Texas Rangers and the New York Mets. The Boston Red Sox also joined the fray by acquiring pitcher Sonny Gray from the St. Louis Cardinals.
Predictions for the 2025-26 Free Agency
In an effort to anticipate the winter’s developments, El-Balad recently queried 16 MLB executives to gauge insights about potential moves and key free agents.
Kyle Tucker’s Potential Contract
A significant discussion point was the future of outfielder Kyle Tucker. Many executives debated whether he would secure a contract exceeding $400 million. The survey revealed:
- 6 executives predicted he would surpass the $400 million mark.
- 10 executives disagreed.
When asked about potential teams, responses included:
- New York Yankees: 6 votes
- Los Angeles Dodgers: 4 votes
- Toronto Blue Jays: 3 votes
- Detroit Tigers: 1 vote
- Philadelphia Phillies: 1 vote
- Baltimore Orioles: 1 vote
Several executives suggested that Tucker’s health could be a determining factor in his contract value, with one indicating a potential deal closer to $350 million over ten years.
Top Free Agent Starters
The executives also speculated on where the top free agent pitchers may land:
- Framber Valdez: Likely to sign with the Blue Jays (5 votes) or New York Mets (4 votes).
- Dylan Cease: Predicted to join the Mets (6 votes).
- Ranger Suarez: Expected to sign with either the Red Sox or Phillies (4 votes each).
Many executives believe the Blue Jays will be active after their recent World Series run.
Japanese Pitching Star Tatsuya Imai
The interest in Japanese pitcher Tatsuya Imai remains high, with predictions leaning towards the following teams:
- San Francisco Giants: 5 votes
- New York Yankees: 3 votes
- Los Angeles Dodgers: 3 votes
- Chicago Cubs: 2 votes
Imai, 27, is poised for a multiyear deal, especially given the recent success of Japanese players in MLB.
Hitter Predictions
Regarding major hitters likely to return to their original teams, executives forecast:
- Kyle Schwarber: 7 votes
- Pete Alonso: 4 votes
- Alex Bregman: 4 votes
Schwarber’s crucial role in the Phillies lineup has garnered significant attention, while Alonso’s connection to the Mets remains strong.
Trade Speculations
When it comes to trade candidates for the winter, Joe Ryan, Freddy Peralta, and Ketel Marte emerged as potential movers. Many executives noted the unusual volume of trade discussions among teams this offseason.
Small-Market Teams Making Moves
The Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds, Kansas City Royals, and Miami Marlins are anticipated to make notable moves this winter. Despite historical constraints, small-market teams are expected to be more active in the free-agent market.
Overall, the 2025-26 MLB offseason promises to be filled with excitement as teams position themselves for the upcoming season. The predictions highlight the strategic approaches of franchises aiming to improve their rosters through free agency and trade activities.
