Van Epps and Behn Neck-and-Neck in Tennessee’s 7th District Election Poll
The special election for the U.S. House of Representatives in Tennessee’s 7th District is generating considerable interest among voters. Recent polling data indicates a tight race between Republican candidate Matt Van Epps and Democrat Aftyn Behn.
Poll Results Overview
A new survey conducted by Emerson College Polling and The Hill reveals the following key statistics:
- Support for Matt Van Epps: 48%
- Support for Aftyn Behn: 46%
- Support for third-party candidates: 2%
- Undecided voters: 5%
When considering where undecided voters might lean, Van Epps’ support rises to 49%, while Behn’s increases to 47%.
Voter Behavior Insights
Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling, remarks on the dynamics influencing voter turnout. Early voters tend to favor Behn, with 56% support compared to Van Epps’ 42%. In contrast, those planning to vote on Election Day show a preference for Van Epps at 51% versus Behn’s 39%.
Demographic factors also play a significant role:
- 64% of voters under 40 support Behn.
- 61% of voters over 70 support Van Epps.
- Men favor Van Epps by 9 points (51% to 42%).
- Women favor Behn by 6 points (50% to 44%).
Candidates’ Favorability and Approval Ratings
Both candidates hold similar favorable ratings, with each at 47%. However, their unfavorable ratings stand at 41% for each candidate. A deeper look at gender perspectives reveals:
- 54% of women view Behn favorably, while only 41% of men do.
- 52% of men have a favorable view of Van Epps, contrasted with 42% of women.
In terms of overall political climate, President Trump holds a 47% approval rating among voters in the district, with a disapproval rating of 49%. This marks a notable shift since last November, when he secured the district by 22 points, largely attributed to declining support from independents, of whom 59% disapprove of his performance.
Key Issues for Voters
The economy remains the primary concern for voters in Tennessee’s 7th District, with 38% identifying it as the top issue. Other significant concerns include:
- Housing affordability: 15%
- Healthcare: 13%
- Threats to democracy: 13%
- Immigration: 6%
- Crime: 5%
- Education: 5%
Among those prioritizing the economy, 48% lean towards supporting Van Epps, while 44% favor Behn.
Polling Methodology
The Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey was conducted between November 22-24, 2025, surveying 600 likely voters. The results carry a credibility interval of +/- 3.9 percentage points. The sample was weighted based on crucial demographic parameters.
Voter engagement remains critical as the election approaches, with both candidates vying for support in an increasingly contentious political environment.
