Broncos Aim to Secure Top Seed and Home Advantage Against Chargers

As the Broncos prepare to face the Chargers, the significance of this matchup looms large. This Sunday, the Broncos (13-3) will take on the Chargers (11-5) in a pivotal regular-season finale, a game that essentially doubles as a playoff event. Head Coach Sean Payton emphasizes the high stakes, declaring a win vital for their postseason aspirations.

Chasing the Top Seed

If the Broncos secure a victory, they will match their franchise record for the most wins in a season. This triumph would also earn them the coveted No. 1 seed in the AFC. Clinching the top position not only grants a first-round bye but also guarantees home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Cornerback Pat Surtain II articulated the team’s determination, stating, “We didn’t come this far just to come this far.”

Chargers’ Starters and Team Focus

Despite the potential absence of Chargers’ starting quarterback Justin Herbert and other key players, the Broncos remain focused. Payton believes the team’s awareness of the game’s importance is evident. He stated, “I think these guys are smart enough to understand the importance of the game.”

Turnover Battle: A Crucial Factor

One of the main questions heading into the game is whether Denver can win the turnover battle. Historically, the turnover margin plays a crucial role in determining a Super Bowl champion. An analysis over the past 25 years reveals that only one Super Bowl winner has ended with a negative turnover differential.

Statistics to Watch

Considering these statistics, 10 of the last 15 Super Bowl champions ranked first or second in turnover differential among playoff teams. Moreover, eight of these teams had at least a plus-4 margin during their championship runs.

• The Eagles, last season’s champions, had a plus-12 turnover margin.
• Currently, Denver ranks tied for 25th in the league for turnover margin.
• The team is aiming to reverse a trend where they lost the turnover battle in their last two games.

Defensive Strategy

Defensive Coordinator Vance Joseph acknowledges the need to improve in this area. He noted, “The one area that has to improve is the turnover margin, and that can happen.” Joseph pointed out that effective defense begins with crucial stops, particularly in stopping the run and excelling in third-down and red-zone situations. The team has previously excelled in these metrics and needs to create more turnovers moving forward.

As the matchup approaches, the Broncos are aware that maximizing their opportunities to take the ball away will be critical for their success. Employing a strong defensive strategy could pave the way for a significant victory as they aim for playoff success.