2026 Critics Choice Predictions: “One Battle After Another” vs. “Sinners”

The 31st Critics Choice Awards are set for Sunday, hosted by Chelsea Handler. This year, the nominations feature significant competition, particularly between Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners” and Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another.” “Sinners” leads with 17 nominations, while predictions suggest “One Battle After Another” will be a major contender for top awards.

Key Predictions for the Ceremony

Several categories are drawing attention due to their potential for surprises. Notably, “One Battle After Another” is favored to take home Best Picture, Best Director for Anderson, and several others. However, “Sinners,” recognized for its innovative storytelling, may also stand out with expected wins in six categories, including Best Original Screenplay for Coogler.

Acting Races Overview

The acting categories showcase a range of opportunities for upsets. Prominent nominees include:

• Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet for “Marty Supreme” (Alternate: Leonardo DiCaprio for “One Battle After Another”)
• Best Actress: Jessie Buckley for “Hamnet” (Alternate: Rose Byrne for “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You”)
• Best Supporting Actor: Benicio del Toro for “One Battle After Another” (Alternate: Stellan Skarsgård for “Sentimental Value”)
• Best Supporting Actress: Amy Madigan for “Weapons” (Alternate: Ariana Grande for “Wicked: For Good”)

This diverse lineup reflects a broad enthusiasm across films, preventing any single movie from dominating the ceremony.

Statistical Context

The Critics Choice Association comprises about 575 voting members, historically serving as an effective predictor for the Oscars. Last year, “Anora” leveraged its Critics Choice win to regain momentum after being overlooked at earlier awards.

As the first major awards ceremony of the year, this event occurs just before Oscar voting begins on January 12. A memorable acceptance speech or a surprising victory could significantly impact the competition ahead.

Predicted Winners Overview

The night promises to be filled with suspense as predictions unfold. The competition between “One Battle After Another” and “Sinners” will be closely watched, setting the stage for an exciting awards season.