CAQ Ranks Last in Latest Pallas Data–Qc125–L’actualité Poll
Recent polling data from Pallas Data reveals a troubling trend for the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ). The poll, conducted from January 9 to 10, 2026, indicates that the CAQ is experiencing its lowest levels of public support to date. This survey was commissioned by Qc125 and comes amidst political uncertainty within the province.
CAQ’s Decline in Popularity
For the first time, the CAQ shares the lowest rank in voting intentions, standing at 11%. This positions them equally with Québec solidaire (QS) as they lag significantly behind their competitors. The Premier, François Legault, is facing historically low approval ratings, with only 12% of respondents expressing favorable views of his leadership.
Political Landscape Overview
The Parti québécois (PQ) leads the pack with 34% of voter intentions, a slight decrease from previous polling but still a strong position. The PQ’s support remains solid among francophone voters, allowing them a substantial lead over the CAQ, which has yet to recover from its recent declines in public opinion.
- CAQ: 11% of voter intentions
- Québec solidaire (QS): 11%
- Parti québécois (PQ): 34%
- Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ): 24%
- Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ): 16%
Changing Voter Dynamics
The PLQ is currently without a leader but obtained 24% support. However, this figure reflects a decline from previous months as internal party crises continue to impact public perception. Additionally, the PCQ shows promise, achieving its highest poll numbers since the last elections, indicating growing support in regions outside Montreal.
Leaders’ Approval Ratings
The survey also highlights widespread dissatisfaction with political leaders in Quebec. Since summer 2024, Pallas Data has tracked the approval ratings of political figures consistently.
- François Legault (CAQ): -63 net approval
- Éric Duhaime (PCQ): -41
- Ruba Ghazal (QS): -25
- Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (PQ): -8 (with 35% favorable impressions)
- Charles Milliard (PLQ candidate): 20% favorable vs. 33% unfavorable
Implications for the Future
As the elections approach in October, the challenges facing the CAQ and François Legault become more pressing. Stagnant approval ratings suggest limited growth potential for the CAQ, while their competition appears to capitalize on increasing discontent among voters. This may lead to significant electoral challenges as Quebec prepares for the impending vote.
The recent Pallas Data survey was conducted with a sample size of 1,128 Quebec residents aged 18 and older. The margin of error is ±3%, with confidence in results at 19 out of 20 attempts.
