NFL Divisional Round: Expert Picks Against the Spread and Survivor Pool

The NFL Divisional Round is here, and expert analysis can provide valuable insights for betting against the spread. This article reviews key matchups, player performances, and statistics to help you make informed decisions.

NFL Divisional Round Expert Picks Against the Spread

Bills at Broncos (-1.5)

The Bills face the Broncos in a game critical for both franchises. Denver’s defense has been stellar, leading the league with 68 sacks. They allowed just 23 sacks on offense, equating to a +45 sack differential.

However, the Bills’ quarterback, Josh Allen, presents a significant challenge. He is entering his 15th playoff game with a strong postseason record of 8-6, including 26 touchdowns against only 4 interceptions. In the Wild Card Round, he threw for 273 yards, added two rushing touchdowns, and executed a game-winning drive.

• Pick: Bills to win.

49ers at Seahawks (-7)

The Seahawks dominated the 49ers in their last matchup, winning 13-3 while demonstrating a physical style of play. This game marks a critical moment, considering the 49ers are dealing with injuries, including George Kittle’s torn Achilles.

With the Seahawks rested, they are favored to win this contest. Although the Niners have shown resilience, they face a tough challenge against a well-prepared opponent.

• Pick: Seahawks to win, 49ers to cover the spread.

Texans at Patriots (-3)

The Texans are on a remarkable 10-game winning streak, showcasing a defensive turnover differential of +17. However, they struggle with offensive consistency.

New England’s quarterback Drake Maye has shown adaptability, and the offensive challenges posed by winter weather may limit Houston’s effectiveness.

• Pick: Patriots to win, Texans to cover the spread.

Rams (-3.5) at Bears

The Rams are set to visit the Bears in a crucial matchup. Chicago has pulled off numerous comeback victories this season, primarily against weaker teams. This trend faces a test against a formidable Rams squad.

Expect cold and windy conditions that may favor the teams’ running games, but Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford’s accuracy is likely to be the deciding factor.

• Pick: Rams to win.

Survivor Pool Strategy

As the playoff season progresses, strategic choices become essential. For this week, the recommended survivor pick is the Patriots. Careful planning ensures that you maintain options for subsequent rounds, particularly for potential Super Bowl participants.

Key Statistics Summary for 2023 Season

As you prepare for the NFL Divisional Round, these insights and picks aim to enhance your understanding and boost your chances in betting against the spread. Stay updated with El-Balad for more expert analysis and picks.