2026 Australian Open: Arnaldi vs. Rublev Preview, Prediction, and Odds
Matteo Arnaldi (ranked No. 65) will face Andrey Rublev (ranked No. 15) this Sunday in the Round of 128 at the 2026 Australian Open. Arnaldi enters the match as an underdog against the heavily favored Rublev.
Match Overview
The upcoming match details are as follows:
- Match: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Andrey Rublev
- Tournament: Australian Open
- Round: 128
- Date: Sunday, January 18
- TV Channel: ESPN+268
- Live Stream: Available on Fubo
- Court Surface: Hard
Betting Odds
The odds for this match reflect Rublev’s strong position. Here are the current betting odds:
- Arnaldi’s odds: +280
- Rublev’s odds: -400
These odds suggest a high implied probability for Rublev’s victory at approximately 80%.
Recent Performance
Examining both players’ recent performances reveals contrasting records on hard courts:
- Matteo Arnaldi:
- Record on hard courts (last 12 months): 15 wins, 16 losses
- Service games won: 77.1%
- Return games won: 22.6%
- Break point conversion: 31.9% (65 out of 204)
- Last match: Lost to Jacob Fearnley (5-7, 2-6) at the Rolex Paris Masters
- Andrey Rublev:
- Record on hard courts (last 12 months): 24 wins, 16 losses
- Service games won: 80.5% (414 out of 514)
- Return games won: 23.5% (120 out of 510)
- Break point conversion: 36.3% (99 out of 273)
- Last match: Lost in the semifinals to Lorenzo Musetti at the Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open
Conclusion
As the 2026 Australian Open progresses, the match between Arnaldi and Rublev promises to be an exciting encounter. Fans will be eager to see if Arnaldi can upset the higher-ranked Rublev on hard courts.
