Patriots vs. Broncos: Key Matchup Analysis
In a highly anticipated clash, the New England Patriots will face the Denver Broncos. This matchup features significant quarterback changes that impact both teams.
Quarterback Situation: Stidham vs. Nix
Jarrett Stidham, age 29, has seen limited action this season. He participated in just four snaps without making a pass attempt. Stidham’s only recorded action was a kneel-down. This makes the Broncos the only NFL team this season without a backup quarterback throwing a pass.
The absence of Broncos quarterback Drake Nix adds to the intrigue. Nix, picked shortly after Drake Maye in the 2024 draft, has shown promise as both a deep passer and a runner. His unavailability shifts the competitive edge toward the Patriots.
In his last start during Week 18 of the 2023 season, Stidham completed 20 out of 34 passes for 272 yards and a touchdown against the Raiders. In that game, he had one interception and was sacked five times.
Playoff History
Stidham is on track to become the ninth quarterback since 1950 to start his first game of the season during the playoffs. Historically, quarterbacks in this situation have a record of 1-7. The only victory belongs to Frank Reich, who led the Bills in a remarkable comeback against the Oilers in January 1993.
Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels knows Stidham well, having coached him in New England and Las Vegas. McDaniels can provide insights on Stidham’s playing style.
Stellar Defensive Matchup
The Broncos’ defense is one of the most formidable units in the NFL. Denver allowed an average of only 287.7 yards and 18.9 points per game during the regular season, ranking in the top five for both categories.
- Red zone efficiency: Allowed a touchdown 42.6% of the time.
- Rushing defense: Gave up 96.2 yards per game, the fourth fewest in the league.
- Sacks: Led the NFL with 68, averaging a strong pass rush win rate of 45%.
Outside linebacker Nik Bonitto spearheads this aggressive pass rush. Against the pass, the Broncos allow only a 57.8% completion rate, dropping to 46% under pressure. Cornerback Patrick Surtain has been particularly effective, with a catch rate allowed of just 52.5% on targeted passes.
Turnovers and Penalties
Despite generating five takeaways in their last game, the Broncos had a tough regular season, finishing with only 14 takeaways, tied for 26th in the league. The Patriots can capitalize on Denver’s quarterback issues, provided they maintain ball security.
The Broncos also led the league in penalty yards during the season, with offensive holding being their most common infraction. Cornerback Riley Moss accounted for a significant number of defensive pass interference penalties.
Injury Updates
Denver’s roster is largely intact, but the status of key players like wide receivers Troy Franklin (hamstring) and Pat Bryant (concussion) is uncertain. Meanwhile, the Patriots are close to full strength, welcoming back nose tackle Khyiris Tonga and potentially seeing wide receiver Mack Hollins return from injured reserve.
Both teams bring unique strengths to this matchup, making it a critical contest in the playoffs. Fans eagerly await how these dynamics will unfold in the upcoming game.
