Mel Kiper’s Initial NFL Mock Draft Reveals Six Major Surprises

The NFL draft season is heating up, particularly as the Scouting Combine approaches. Mel Kiper Jr.’s initial mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft has revealed six major surprises, shifting perceptions among teams and analysts alike.

Fernando Mendoza Leads the Draft Class

Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza is projected to be the first overall pick in the 2026 draft. His position seems secure unless unforeseen circumstances arise.

David Bailey’s Surge

Texas Tech’s David Bailey is set to be the second EDGE player selected, surpassing Miami’s Rueben Bain Jr. This move is surprising, especially since Bain had once been viewed as a potential top pick.

Linebacker Picks Raise Eyebrows

• Styles of Ohio State is touted as a top 10 player by Kiper, despite being a middle linebacker.
• His selection would mark the earliest a non-pass-rushing linebacker has been chosen since Devin White in 2019.

The Dallas Cowboys have expressed interest in bolstering their pass rush, which makes Styles an appealing option, even if his position traditionally holds less value.

Jets Seek Quarterback Solutions

The New York Jets are projected to select Ty Simpson at No. 16. However, many question if this is the right decision. Simpson, although talented, represents a risk that the Jets may not be equipped to gamble on.

With a potential for multiple first-round picks in 2027, New York may be better off waiting for a franchise quarterback.

Defensive Backs in High Demand

• Kiper has cornerback Delane projected to go at No. 18 to the Minnesota Vikings.
• This differs from previous mock drafts that had Delane going earlier.

Landing Delane would significantly help the Vikings’ secondary, addressing one of their critical needs.

C.J. Allen’s Early Selection

Most analysts view Georgia’s C.J. Allen as a second-round pick, but Kiper anticipates his selection at No. 19 by the Carolina Panthers. This choice suggests confidence in their pass rush development.

Wide Receiver Frenzy

The incoming draft class features an impressive group of receivers. Kiper forecasts six receivers being taken in the first round, surpassing the five projected by others.

• Chris Brazell II from Tennessee stands out as a notable inclusion, expected to be picked by the Buffalo Bills.
• Brazell’s size (6-foot-5, 200 pounds) is a considerable advantage in attracting interest.

As the draft approaches, teams will need to consider how these surprising projections can influence their strategies. Kiper’s insights present a compelling narrative as teams prepare for the 2026 NFL Draft.