NFL Best Bets: Courtland Sutton Prop Picks for AFC Championship

Bassyonni

Published: January 25, 2026 4:11 PM ET

The upcoming AFC Championship game features an exciting matchup between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots. This crucial game is set for Sunday, January 25, at 3 p.m. ET. With a projected total of 42.5 points, analysts expect a defensive battle, making the performance of offensive players like Courtland Sutton critical.

NFL Best Bets: Courtland Sutton Prop Picks for AFC Championship

The Patriots enter this game as 4.5-point favorites, with a moneyline of -238 on DraftKings Sportsbook. Conversely, the Broncos are positioned at +195. These odds reflect the challenges Denver faces, particularly in terms of player injuries.

Injury Concerns and Quarterback Changes

Bo Nix, Denver’s starting quarterback, is out for the remainder of the season due to a fractured ankle. This unfortunate development led to Jarrett Stidham taking over as the starter. Stidham’s inexperience is a concern, as his first pass in the AFC Championship will mark his first NFL throw since 2023.

Patriots’ Defensive Readiness

The Patriots have received a boost on the injury front. Starting cornerbacks Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis have cleared concussion protocols and are ready to compete. Gonzalez, known for his strong coverage, will be closely monitoring Sutton throughout the game. His presence could significantly hinder Sutton’s performance.

Weather Impacts

In addition to player changes, weather conditions are not favorable for the Broncos. Game-time temperatures are expected to be around 22 degrees, with a chance of snow. While Sutton has experience playing in cold weather, these conditions complicate the passing game.

Prop Bet Recommendations

Given the various challenges facing Courtland Sutton and the Broncos’ offense, betting on his performance may be risky. Historically, when Stidham and Sutton were last paired, they connected on only one pass for two yards. Additionally, Sutton had nine targets in his most recent game, but the overall situation suggests a struggle ahead.

Best Bet: Courtland Sutton Under 4.5 Receptions
Best Bet: Courtland Sutton Under 46.5 Receiving Yards

The forthcoming AFC Championship promises to be a critical test for both teams, particularly with the onus on Sutton to produce amid considerable challenges. Bet wisely as the game unfolds this Sunday.