Mavericks vs Spurs: 2025-26 NBA Prediction, Injuries, Stats & Picks
The NBA season is heating up as the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face the San Antonio Spurs on February 5, 2026. This critical Southwestern Division clash will take place at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, starting at 8:30 PM ET. The Mavericks are currently in a challenging position, facing the Spurs, who are riding high on recent success.
Mavericks vs Spurs: Match Overview
This matchup is especially significant for Dallas. The team is grappling with injuries and recent trades that have severely impacted their roster. Meanwhile, San Antonio is fresh off a strong victory and is aiming to capitalize on their current momentum.
Current Team Standings
| Team | Record | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 19–31 | 13th (West) |
| San Antonio Spurs | 34–16 | 2nd (West) |
Head-to-Head Record
- 2025-26 Season: Spurs 125 – 92 Mavericks (at Dallas)
In their previous encounter this season, the Spurs dominated the Mavericks, winning by a significant margin of 33 points. This result underscores the current disparity between the two teams.
Recent Performance
Dallas Mavericks
- Recent Games: 1 win, 4 losses
- Last Game: Loss to Boston
- Challenges: Injuries and disrupted chemistry
The Mavericks have struggled in recent outings, covering the spread only once in their last six games. With major injuries affecting their key players, the team is focusing more on development rather than immediate wins.
San Antonio Spurs
- Recent Form: Consistent wins
- Last Game: Victory over Oklahoma City
- Strengths: Strong road performance and balanced play
In contrast, the Spurs are showcasing solid form, winning consistently and maintaining a competitive edge, especially against lesser-ranked teams.
Key Player Statistics
- Dallas Mavericks: Cooper Flagg: 20.1 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 4.2 APG
- San Antonio Spurs:
- Victor Wembanyama: 24.0 PPG, 11.1 RPG
- De’Aaron Fox: 19.7 PPG
- Stephon Castle: 16.5 PPG
- Keldon Johnson: Efficient scoring
Flagg remains a focal point for Dallas, but the lack of experienced players around him makes it challenging to close out games. Conversely, the Spurs boast multiple reliable scorers contributing to their success.
Injury Report
Dallas Mavericks
- Anthony Davis – Out
- D’Angelo Russell – Out
- Jaden Hardy – Out
- Dante Exum – Out
- Kyrie Irving – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Out
- P.J. Washington – Out
- Daniel Gafford – Questionable
- Brandon Williams – Questionable
San Antonio Spurs
- Jeremy Sochan – Out
- Lindy Waters III – Out
- Luke Kornet – Out
- Kelly Olynyk – Questionable
- Dylan Harper – Questionable
The Mavericks are without several primary scorers, leaving them vulnerable on both ends of the court. In contrast, the Spurs retain most of their core players, enhancing their chances of success.
Betting Odds and Predictions
- Spread: Spurs -6.5 / -7.5
- Moneyline: Spurs -240 to -275
- Over/Under Total: 222.5 – 228
Bookmakers favor the Spurs heavily due to Dallas’ injury struggles and previous matchup results. The expected outcome leans toward another Spurs victory.
Match Prediction
The projected score is San Antonio Spurs 118 – 106 Dallas Mavericks. Dallas may show initial vigor, but San Antonio’s depth and defensive capabilities will likely prevail throughout the game.
In conclusion, this game represents two teams on different trajectories. The Spurs are stable and confident, while the Mavericks are in a state of flux following a tumultuous trade deadline. San Antonio looks poised for another easy win unless Dallas manages an exceptional performance on defense.
