dayana yastremska carries a 72% win probability into Tuesday’s WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026 match against Anastasia Zakharova. Dimers’ model says Zakharova has a 28% chance, putting Yastremska firmly in front before the first ball is struck.
Dimers' 10,000 Simulations
The projection comes from a model that simulated the match 10,000 times. That sample produced the split between Yastremska’s 72% and Zakharova’s 28%, giving the matchup a clear favorite without turning it into a certainty.
Yastremska Against Zakharova
Yastremska is the player the model expects to beat Zakharova on Tuesday in Rome. For a pre-match preview, that number is the main piece of information for readers tracking expectations rather than results.
Zakharova’s 28% share keeps the matchup from being a lock, and that gap is the part to watch as the match approaches. The numbers point to one player carrying most of the expectation, while the other still has a path if the projection misses the way tennis often can.
