Simona Waltert Faces 63% Hailey Baptiste Odds in Rome

Dimers gives simona waltert a 37% win probability for Friday’s WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026 match, while Hailey Baptiste sits at 63%. That model result makes Baptiste the more likely winner before a ball is struck in Rome.

Dimers’ Rome projection

The model ran the matchup 10,000 times and landed on Baptiste as the stronger pick. Waltert still has a path to pull the upset, but the probabilities lean clearly toward Baptiste at 63%.

For readers tracking the match from a betting angle, the split is the main takeaway: the gap is meaningful, not overwhelming. A 37% price on Waltert leaves room for an upset, yet the projection still puts her behind from the start.

Waltert and Baptiste

Simona Waltert is the player listed at 37%, and Hailey Baptiste is the player the model backs at 63%. Those figures are the entire case the projection makes, and they are built from the 10,000 simulated outcomes rather than any result on court.

The match is scheduled for Friday in the WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026. That timing leaves the numbers as the only guide for now, with Baptiste entering as the model’s preferred winner and Waltert needing to outplay the forecast.