Marina Mabrey enters June 19 with Toronto’s offense leaning harder on her than it has all season. The Toronto Tempo visit the Connecticut Sun with Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice out, and Nyara Sabally also listed out, pushing the scoring load toward Mabrey’s hands.
That makes the 20.5-point prop the number to watch. Jason Logan projected her for 22 points, and Mabrey already showed the ceiling in this matchup on June 10, when she took 20 shots and finished with 21 points against the Connecticut Sun.
Marina Mabrey’s shot volume
The volume is not coming out of nowhere. Mabrey has taken 15 or more field goals in three of her last four outings, up from an average of 13.6 field goal attempts before that stretch. She already leads the Toronto Tempo in usage, so the injury list only tightens the funnel around her possessions.
Toronto has as much as 51% of its scoring removed from the floor by the injuries now on the board. That is the cleanest reason the scoring prop moved into focus: fewer available creators, more possessions funneled to one primary option, and less room for the Tempo to spread the shot chart around.
Connecticut Sun matchup
The matchup itself has already produced points. On June 10, the Toronto Tempo and the Connecticut Sun went over the total in Toronto, and the teams scored 192 points in regulation before overtime. The closing total that night was 166.5, a gap that showed how quickly the game opened up once possessions started piling up.
Connecticut has also gotten healthier in the past week, which puts more weight on Toronto’s short rotation instead of any single defensive matchup. Mabrey still carries the cleanest scoring path because her role is the one thing Toronto can lean on without changing the rest of the offense.
Money Mabrey
Logan called her “Money Mabrey,” and the nickname fits the setup rather than the finish. Toronto needs her to take the shots that are available, and the most practical question for bettors and Tempo backers is how much of that June 10 shot volume repeats when the injury report leaves Toronto this thin.
