Damir Dzumhur will face Arthur Fery in the first round of Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026 on Tuesday, and the numbers lean heavily toward Fery. Stats Insider gives him an 80% chance to win, while TAB has Dzumhur at $4.33.
Arthur Fery in the numbers
Stats Insider ran the match through 10,000 simulations before landing on that split. Its suggested bet is Fery at $1.83, which sits between the model view and TAB's current $1.22.
The first-set market is tighter than the outright line. TAB lists Dzumhur at $3.00 to win the opening set, with Fery at $1.40.
Tuesday and the 9:10pm start
The Wimbledon 2026 match between Dzumhur and Fery is scheduled to start at 9:10pm AEST. That gives readers a fixed time to track the first-round meeting rather than waiting for a loose window.
For anyone following the match price, the key split is simple: the model points to Fery as the stronger option, but TAB still leaves Dzumhur with a live outright return at $4.33. The source does not explain how the 80% win probability was calculated, so the market gap is the clearest thing to watch when the match begins.
