Joel Kan Says Mortgages Rose 0.04% as ARM Share Fell

Mortgages rose 0.04% in the latest MBA survey, while ARM loans dropped to 7.6% of applications, the lowest share since January.

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Joel Kan Says Mortgages Rose 0.04% as ARM Share Fell

Mortgages in the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey rose 0.04% in the week ending June 26, even as the mix shifted away from adjustable-rate borrowing. ARM loans fell to 7.6% of total applications, the lowest share since January, according to Joel Kan.

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Mortgage rates eased slightly last week as oil prices declined, and Kan said that pushed applications modestly higher. The data show a small gain that came from purchase demand, not from refinances, which slipped again.

Joel Kan on 7.6%

0.04% was the seasonally adjusted increase in the The Market Composite Index from one week earlier, while the unadjusted index rose 11%. The Refinance Index fell 1% on the week, though it was still 9% above the same week one year ago. That left refinancing with 41.4% of total activity, down from 41.5% the prior week.

1% was the rise in the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index, and the unadjusted Purchase Index climbed 11% from the previous week and 3% from a year earlier. Kan said purchase applications remain ahead of 2025’s pace and have shown year-over-year growth for almost three months as prospective homebuyers find opportunities in markets with ample inventory and easing home-price growth.

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Mortgage Mix Shifts

7.6% was the ARM share of activity, down from 12.9% for VA applications, 16.9% for FHA applications, and 0.4% for USDA applications. The refinance share slipped, VA’s share rose to 12.9% from 12.3%, FHA’s share fell to 16.9% from 17.9%, and USDA’s share fell to 0.4% from 0.5%.

6.57% was the average contract rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances, down from 6.59%; the 15-year fixed-rate average fell to 6.00% from 6.02%. The 5/1 ARM rate moved higher to 5.79% from 5.68%, leaving less rate advantage for borrowers comparing adjustable loans with fixed options. If that gap stays narrow, the weekly numbers suggest borrowers may keep favoring fixed-rate debt even when overall applications edge up.

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Business reporter focused on retail, consumer spending, and the gig economy. Regular contributor to Bloomberg and MarketWatch.