released a Jon Ossoff Mike Collins poll on Wednesday that puts Ossoff ahead of Collins 56% to 43% in the 2026 Georgia Senate race. The result gives Ossoff an early lead in a contest between the Georgia Democratic senator and the Republican Senate nominee.
Among the 82% of Georgia voters who say they are motivated to vote, Ossoff leads 55% to 44%. He also posts a 58% favorable rating in the poll, while Collins is at 44%.
Georgia voter splits
The poll shows Ossoff drawing 87% of Black voters, 68% of voters under age 30, 68% of independents, 66% of moderates, and 66% of women under 45. Collins’ strongest groups include 79% of White evangelical Christians, 65% of White men without a college degree, and 55% of rural voters.
He also leads among nearly all Democrats, with 96% backing him. Collins has 90% support among Republicans, though nearly a quarter of non-MAGA Republicans say they will back Ossoff. Only 4% of MAGA supporters say they will back Ossoff.
Collins and Trump
The poll comes after Collins defeated Derek Dooley in the June GOP primary runoff following a last-minute endorsement from Donald Trump. Collins has described Ossoff as “out of touch, far-left liberal.”
That history helps explain why the race remains tied to Trump’s standing in Georgia. In the poll, 53% of Georgians say they are extremely or very concerned that Collins is too close to Trump, while 47% say they are extremely or very concerned that Ossoff is too liberal.
Georgia Senate race issue mix
Inflation is the top issue for 40% of voters in their Senate vote. Healthcare ranks second at 13%, while political divisions, immigration, and jobs and unemployment each stand at 11%.
The early read is straightforward: Ossoff starts with the broader coalition, while Collins relies on a tighter Republican base and the groups most aligned with Trump. The next measure that will matter is whether Collins can narrow the gap among independents and moderate voters before the campaign hardens around turnout.
Ossoff’s position is stronger than a bare partisan lead, and Collins’ path depends on changing the race beyond the voters already sorted by party and ideology.
