The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to secure the series Tuesday night against the Colorado Rockies, and the matchup gives Los Angeles a clear betting edge in Dodgers Vs Rockies.
Michael Lorenzen is expected to take the mound for the Rockies, and his splits against left-handed hitters are the key reason this game has drawn attention. Lorenzen has allowed a.365/.423/.640 line to lefties, along with 1.94 HR/9 and a 5.07 xFIP. That is the profile of a pitcher who has had a hard time limiting damage when opponents can stack left-handed bats against him.
Why the Dodgers are in position to cover
Jason said Lorenzen's struggles against left-handed hitters put Los Angeles in position to cover the run line while helping push the total Over. That fits the matchup on Tuesday, especially with the Dodgers coming off an 11-inning win Monday night and the Rockies also dealing with a bullpen that was heavily used over the past week.
Colorado's bullpen threw 32 2/3 innings over the past week, the fifth-most in baseball. The Rockies also posted the lowest strikeout rate in baseball over that span at 14.4%, while their.566 slugging percentage over the past month led the majors. Those numbers point to a team that has been putting balls in play and generating extra-base impact, but also one that may be vulnerable if the game turns into another bullpen test.
Why the total is in play
The Over case is tied to the same ingredients. Lorenzen's difficulty against left-handed hitters gives the Dodgers a path to run production, and both teams enter the game after Monday's long contest. Clear skies and little to no wind are expected at Dodger Stadium Tuesday night, which removes one more variable from the scoring outlook.
With the Dodgers favored and the matchup pointing toward more offense, the run-line angle and the Over both make sense in a game that could once again ask a lot from tired arms. The price also matters, with the Dodgers listed around -150 and the recent form backing up the favorite.
Jason's read is straightforward: Michael Lorenzen's struggles against left-handed hitters create a path for Los Angeles to cover, while the bullpen workload on both sides gives the total another route to the Over.
